Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems: Decisions under Uncertainties and Risks

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Introduction to Remote Sensing J. Kostyuchenko , Otto Stoyka. Coherent risk measures assessment based on the coupled analysis of multivariate distributions of multisource observation data. Kostyuchenko , Y.

Decision making under uncertainty

Bilous , I. Kopachevsky , D.

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It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers.

Charles M. Vest is president of the National Academy of Engineering. The Institute of Medicine was established in by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education.

Harvey V. Fineberg is president of the Institute of Medicine.


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Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Cicerone and Dr.

Vest are chair and vice chair, respectively, of the National Research Council. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the institution in making its published report as sound as possible and to ensure that the report meets institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge.

The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process. We wish to thank the following individuals for their review of this report:. Although the reviewers listed above have provided many constructive comments and suggestions, they were not asked to endorse the conclusions or recommendations nor did they see the final draft of the report before its release. The review of this report was overseen by Chris G. Sox, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth.

Appointed by the National Research Council and the Institute of Medicine, they were responsible for making certain that an independent examination of this report was carried out in accordance with institutional procedures and that all review comments were carefully considered. Responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the authoring committee and the institution. Uncertainty and Environmental Decision Making. Newer Approaches to Dealing with Uncertainties. Uncertainty and Public Health Decisions.

Contamination of the Food Supply with Melamine. Preventive Services Task Force Recommendations. Incorporating Uncertainty into a Decision-Making Framework. Communication of Uncertainty in Risk Estimates.

Decisions under Uncertainties and Risks

Considerations When Deciding on a Communications Approach. A Approaches to Accounting for Uncertainty. B Committee Member Biographical Sketches. M ultiple sources of uncertainty exist in any risk assessment including those conducted by the U. Environmental Protection Agency EPA , the lead agency responsible for protecting Americans against significant risks to human health and the environment. The EPA asked the Institute of Medicine IOM to convene a committee to provide guidance for its decision makers and partners on approaches to manage risk in different contexts when uncertainty is present.

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The control versus resilience rationale for managing systems under uncertainty - IOPscience

To tackle this issue, the IOM assembled a committee of experts in the fields of risk assessment, public health, health economics, decision analysis, public policy, risk communication, and environmental and public health law. The committee met five times, including three open sessions during which committee members discussed relevant issues with outside experts and discussed the charge with the EPA.


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In discussing its charge, the committee found it helpful to clarify the questions in its statement of task. In addition, when considering tools and techniques from other areas of public health policy, the committee considered whether there are tools and techniques available from other decision-making settings of potential use to EPA decision making, what their benefits and drawbacks are, and whether and how those tools could be applied by EPA.

Uncertainty is a very broad topic with many potential implications for decision making; this presented a thorny challenge to the committee throughout its deliberations. That challenge was amplified by the broad range of. The result was adoption of a broader approach to considering uncertainty than is typically taken for environmental decisions.

Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems

In contrast, historically, much of the work related to uncertainty by EPA and others has focused on the uncertainty in the estimates of human health risks. Despite a lengthy delay in completing this report, and after responding to excellent peer-review comments, in the end, I am proud of the work we have done and hope that the EPA and other decision makers will find the fundamental report message useful.

In summary, that message is that EPA has made substantial technical progress in how it conducts uncertainty analyses in support of its human health risk assessments.